Arsenal currently sit atop the league table, boasting an impressive record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses after 17 rounds, accumulating 39 points. Their home form is particularly strong, ranking second with 7 wins and 1 draw in 8 matches, remaining undefeated. They've scored 31 goals while conceding only 10, indicating a solid defence, though key players are absent due to injuries in both defence and attack.

Crystal Palace are positioned eighth in the league, with 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses from 17 matches, totaling 26 points. Despite their strong away record, ranking second in the league, their defence has conceded 19 goals, posing a concern. They also suffered a loss in their last match, and have several midfield and wing players sidelined due to injuries.

Arsenal have dominated recent encounters. Given Arsenal's home advantage, superior overall strength, and form, and with Crystal Palace needing to address defensive vulnerabilities, the odds are stacked in favour of the home side. The initial odds set by external sources generally favour Arsenal with a one-goal handicap, with some opening at a one-goal-and-a-half handicap.

The fact that the odds remain consistent, even with Arsenal's key absences, suggests a strong belief in their home capabilities. The team's depth allows for effective rotation. Conversely, although Crystal Palace's away record is good, their defensive frailties, coupled with the absence of key midfield and wing players, will hinder their counter-attacking potential. The bookmakers haven't lowered the handicap; instead, they've increased the payout, making it harder for Arsenal to cover the spread, which aims to sway the market's focus towards Crystal Palace.

However, the steady odds are a reflection of the actual strength disparity, with Arsenal holding a psychological edge from recent matchups. Their attacking prowess is substantial, and the bookmakers' strategy aims to mitigate the risk of a significant Arsenal victory while also balancing market interest. Considering Arsenal's recent home performances and the strong backing from external sources, Arsenal is expected to secure a win within the regular time. Prediction: Arsenal -1.

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