Premier League Showdown: Can Fulham Upset the Odds Against Liverpool?

Fulham's recent form has been noteworthy, with three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six league matches. They currently sit mid-table and have been particularly strong at home. However, key player absences could test their squad depth. Liverpool, positioned high in the league standings, are unbeaten in their last six games, demonstrating consistent performance, though they've also faced their own injury setbacks. Historically, the sides have traded victories. The most recent encounter saw Fulham triumph at home. This English Premier League match features Fulham at home against Liverpool. Fulham is currently 11th in the league, with 27 points from 8 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. Their recent form has fluctuated, but their home record is commendable, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last nine home games. Liverpool is in 4th place with 33 points (10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses). They are unbeaten in their last six matches but have drawn frequently, with three draws. Their away form has been less impressive, with only 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in nine away games. In their last five meetings, Fulham has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses against Liverpool, although they won their most recent home match 3-2. Both teams are affected by injuries and international duty absences, potentially impacting squad strength and tactical execution. The Asian handicap initially gave Fulham a half-goal advantage, with the home side's odds at 0.84 and the away side at 1.04. This was adjusted to 0.90 for the home side and 0.98 for the away side, suggesting expectations for Fulham to score at home. European odds initially had an average away win around 1.96, which slightly decreased to around 1.94, with home win and draw odds remaining stable at 3.20 and 3.55 respectively. The Kelly index indicates a higher payout risk for an away win, further supporting the possibility of Fulham not losing. Prediction: Fulham +0.5 2-2 2-1

*For reference only, not betting advice
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