Arsenal holds a clear advantage over Bournemouth based on recent encounters. Data indicates that Arsenal has won six out of seven matches in the past few seasons, with three of those victories resulting in a goal difference of over three. Despite no direct match records before the January 4, 2026, match, Arsenal appears tactically and strategically more mature, according to long-term data trends. Bournemouth has struggled in past encounters, especially in their matches from last season, failing to make a breakthrough in the last three games. Bournemouth's away performance has shown some instability, particularly when they have a disadvantage in ball possession, leading to numerous defensive opportunities. In the upcoming English Premier League match, Bournemouth will host Arsenal. Recent team data highlights significant differences in offensive and defensive performance. Bournemouth's attack, averaging 1.3 goals per game, appears somewhat weak, although they have a relatively balanced attack and defence. Despite a goal difference of -11, they show resilience in critical games. The home team has a 0% win rate in home matches, with half of their games ending in draws, showing overall instability. They face a real challenge, conceding an average of two goals per game, and need to address the issues between their attack and defence. Recommendation: Arsenal to win by 1, continue with the 0.75 handicap.