Athletic Bilbao's Set-Piece Edge Against Osasuna: A Tactical Preview

This analysis delves into the set-piece dynamics likely to influence the upcoming La Liga clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao. Examining recent form, team strengths, and odds, we can identify key areas where the game might be won or lost, particularly focusing on corners, free-kicks, and aerial duels. **Osasuna's Recent Struggles & Set-Piece Defence:** Osasuna's recent form shows a mixed bag. Their last five league games reveal defensive vulnerabilities. They've conceded goals, and their set-piece defence hasn't been consistently strong. They conceded 3 goals to Alaves. The match against Barcelona highlighted their weakness against teams with strong attacking set-piece plays. While they can perform well, their recent performances show they could have trouble with Bilbao. **Athletic Bilbao's Set-Piece Threat:** Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, have demonstrated a more consistent form in their recent matches. They also have an edge in the set pieces area of the game. They've been effective in capitalising on opportunities arising from corners and free kicks, often creating dangerous situations in the opponent's box, as seen in their recent match against RCD Espanyol. Their aerial ability and tactical set-piece routines make them a threat. Their match against Atletico Madrid underscores their capacity to exploit set-piece opportunities, even against tough defences. **Analysing the Odds:** The odds provided paint a nuanced picture. The Asian Handicap of +0.25 on Bilbao suggests a slight favouring towards the away team. The Over/Under line is set at 2 goals. The market's expectation suggests a moderately scoring game. This could imply a game where Athletic Bilbao can take advantage of Osasuna's defensive vulnerabilities. Considering these odds alongside the team’s current forms helps us shape a well-rounded prediction. **Prediction Rationale:** Based on these factors, the prediction is leaning towards Athletic Bilbao. Their better recent form, combined with their set-piece prowess, particularly in utilising corners and free kicks, gives them an advantage. Osasuna's defensive frailties, especially in defending set pieces, further support this prediction. Consequently, an Asian Handicap bet on Athletic Bilbao and an Under bet is advisable. The likelihood of a low-scoring match, given Osasuna's recent games and the market's odds, seems high.