Persebaya Surabaya Favored in Indonesian Derby Against Madura United

This analysis delves into the upcoming Indonesia Super League match between Madura United and Persebaya Surabaya, examining recent form, head-to-head records, and betting odds to provide a well-informed prediction. The match, scheduled for January 3rd, 2026, presents an intriguing clash with implications for both teams' standings. Analyzing the recent form of both teams reveals some critical insights. Madura United's recent performance has been mixed. They showcased a high-scoring victory against Semen Padang, winning 5-1. However, their subsequent results have been less convincing, including a draw against Arema FC and a heavy defeat to Persib Bandung. Their home form shows inconsistency, with a tendency to concede goals. Persebaya Surabaya, on the other hand, has shown a more consistent performance in their recent matches. While they have secured draws against strong teams like Borneo FC Samarinda and Bhayangkara Solo FC, they have also displayed an ability to score, even if they have been unable to consistently win. They have also shown a defensive solidity that Madura United lacks. Head-to-head records heavily favor Persebaya Surabaya. Looking at their last ten encounters, Persebaya Surabaya has dominated, winning the majority of the matches. This historical advantage suggests a psychological edge and a tactical understanding that Persebaya Surabaya might possess. The games between the two teams are often closely contested, but Persebaya Surabaya consistently finds ways to secure the result. The betting odds further reinforce the prediction. The match odds indicate a slight advantage for Persebaya Surabaya, with odds of 2.63 for an away win, compared to 2.45 for a home win. The Asian Handicap is set at 0, suggesting a closely contested match. However, the odds for Persebaya Surabaya still look favorable given their history against Madura United. The over/under odds of 2.5 goals with odds of 0.83 for under suggest a low scoring game, which aligns with the head-to-head results of the matches between the two teams. Considering all the factors, the prediction leans towards a win for Persebaya Surabaya. Their superior head-to-head record and more consistent recent form give them an edge over Madura United. The predicted Asian Handicap outcome is Away Win, reflecting Persebaya Surabaya's ability to edge out a win. Also, the over/under prediction is under 2.5 goals. Based on the historical data, this match will likely be a tactical battle with few goals scored. The match will likely be a close, low-scoring encounter, potentially decided by a single goal. In conclusion, the combination of recent form, head-to-head statistics, and betting odds strongly suggests a Persebaya Surabaya victory in this Indonesia Super League match against Madura United. While football is unpredictable, the analysis points towards a positive result for Persebaya Surabaya, given their current strengths and historical dominance.