Celta Vigo (7th) welcomes Valencia (17th) in a Spanish La Liga encounter. The home side's recent form shows a mixed bag with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. At home, Celta Vigo remains unbeaten with 4 wins and 3 draws, demonstrating balanced performance in attack and defence, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per game. Their home defence is mid-table in terms of solidity. Valencia's recent form is less impressive, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games. Away from home, their record is 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a low goal-scoring rate of 0.9 goals per game and conceding 1.4. Although their attack struggles, they pose a threat on the counter. Historically, Celta Vigo holds an advantage in head-to-head matches, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters with 1 draw and 1 loss, including 2 wins and 1 draw at home. Key player availability is a factor, with Celta Vigo's key midfielder, Beltran, out injured, potentially impacting their ability to control the midfield. In contrast, Valencia's striker, Duro, is in good form, having scored 2 goals in his last 3 appearances, and their squad is fully fit. Tactically, Celta Vigo typically deploys a 4-3-3 formation focused on possession-based attacking football, while Valencia favours a 4-4-2 setup with a focus on defensive counter-attacks, leveraging their pace on the flanks. In terms of motivation, Celta Vigo aims to secure a European competition spot, while Valencia is battling to avoid relegation, resulting in strong motivation from both sides. Although Valencia's form has fluctuated recently, the team has the advantage of a firing striker Duro who has scored twice in the last three games. Additionally, the team is fully fit and injury-free. Valencia's 4-4-2 counter-attacking strategy may exploit the midfield void caused by Celta Vigo's injured players, which can give Valencia more room to use its flank speed, which enhances counter-attack efficiency. Although Valencia have struggled in previous away matches, they have managed a win and a draw in their previous two matches against Celta Vigo, potentially influencing their mindset. As Valencia is fighting to avoid relegation, they will feel more pressure to win, whereas Celta Vigo wants to make it into the European competition, although the loss of its key midfielder will impact their midfield control and defence. Considering current form, key players, tactical suitability, and the level of motivation, Valencia has a higher probability of gaining points away from home.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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