As league leaders, Borneo FC Samarinda boasts a significant overall strength and a strong home advantage, evidenced by a high home win rate this season. However, recent fluctuations in form have seen them secure only two victories in their last six matches, coupled with a decline in defensive stability, introducing uncertainty to their performance in this game. Their opponents, PSM Makassar, though mid-table, have actually displayed a better recent form, with a higher win rate in their last six games and a proven ability to earn points on the road. Historically, Borneo FC Samarinda has not held a clear advantage in recent encounters, with multiple draws against PSM Makassar. This match sees Borneo FC Samarinda, aiming to leverage their home advantage to reverse their recent slump, while the resurgent PSM Makassar will likely not yield easily. Both teams' motivations are high, suggesting multiple potential outcomes. While the home side is acknowledged as having the potential to secure points or even win, external analysis is cautious about the likelihood of an open, high-scoring game. This aligns with both teams' needs: Borneo FC Samarinda urgently requires points to solidify their top position, and given their recent defensive frailties, they may prioritise solidifying their position tactically. PSM Makassar, playing away against a strong opponent while in decent form themselves, will likely adopt a more pragmatic strategy, focusing on defence and counter-attack opportunities. The history of draws and low-scoring results in their previous meetings further supports this cautious tactical approach. Consequently, considering the battle-driven tactical tendencies and the cautious expectations for the number of goals, the game may lean towards physical battles and midfield control. The number of clear-cut opportunities for either team may be limited, making it a challenge to exceed two goals. Prediction: Under 2.5 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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