Madura United's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mixed record of wins, draws, and losses in their last ten matches. However, a high-scoring victory in their last home game has boosted their morale. Persebaya Surabaya has shown greater stability this season, holding a higher league ranking and boasting a strong unbeaten record recently, although they have drawn a significant number of matches. Persebaya Surabaya has a psychological edge in their past encounters. Both teams will be missing key players due to injuries and suspensions. The live data has not been adjusted, with the away win odds remaining lower than the home win odds. The implied probability suggests a 36.35% chance of an away win, slightly higher than the 34.92% chance of a home win, indicating market expectations favour Persebaya Surabaya to earn points. The Asian handicap is set at a level playing field, with the home team's water level at 0.95 and the away team's at 0.85. The water levels have remained stable, with the away team's remaining low, which often signifies external support for Persebaya Surabaya to avoid defeat. Considering Persebaya Surabaya's recent high unbeaten rate, historical advantage, and the trend in European and Asian data favouring the away team, it is anticipated that they will at least secure a draw. However, their tendency to draw cannot be overlooked. The prediction: Persebaya Surabaya -0. Score prediction: 1-1 or 1-3.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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