Vitoria Guimaraes will be without their first-choice centre-back Rivas, while key defensive midfielder, Beni, is away representing Angola in the Africa Cup of Nations. Nacional da Madeira have their rotated full-back Viti away on international duty with Mozambique, and are also missing two substitutes, Soares and Ulisses, due to injury. Nacional da Madeira's recent performance shows a 62% success rate in key passes in their last five matches, surpassing Vitoria Guimaraes's 48%. They also demonstrate superior organisational capabilities with a 2.3 value in forward passes per 90 minutes. Vitoria Guimaraes has shown a good attacking and defensive rhythm in recent matches, especially against lower-ranked teams. In their last five games, they have secured three wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring nine goals and conceding seven, with overall fluctuating performance. Their leading attackers have shown consistent scoring ability this season, but their defence appears somewhat vulnerable, often conceding from counter-attacks. Playing at home, they will likely aim to leverage the home advantage to put pressure on their opponents. Recommendation: Vitoria Guimaraes -0.5