Vitoria Guimaraes faces Nacional da Madeira in a Liga Portugal 1 clash. Analyzing recent form, Guimaraes' home form appears mixed, with a loss to Sporting CP, a cup loss to AVS, and draws against Casa Pia and Gil Vicente. However, their away win against Rio Ave suggests a potential for victory. Nacional da Madeira's recent away form has been concerning, with losses against Alverca and Sporting Braga, and a draw against AVS. The injury data reveals some absences, with Vitoria Guimaraes having one injury, and Nacional da Madeira missing three players. This slightly favors Guimaraes, potentially impacting Nacional's defensive stability. Considering the match odds, the market favors Vitoria Guimaraes for the win at 1.83, suggesting a reasonable probability of a home victory. The Asian Handicap of -0.5 for Guimaraes at odds of 0.88 reinforces this view. The over/under market at 2.25 goals, with under at 0.95, indicates an expectation of a lower-scoring match. Based on the form and odds, I predict a narrow win for Vitoria Guimaraes, with under 2.25 goals scored in the match. The home team's slightly better recent form and the advantage of playing at home, coupled with Nacional's injury concerns, tilt the balance in Guimaraes' favor.