AC Milan heads to Cagliari as clear favourites, backed by a superior recent form. Cagliari's recent performance has been inconsistent, marked by a mix of losses and draws. Their defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding goals in several recent matches. Home advantage isn't a significant factor here, especially against a team of Milan's calibre. Milan's recent form is considerably stronger. Although they've experienced a loss, their attacking prowess is evident, consistently finding the net. The injury list is also a key factor. Cagliari is dealing with a significant number of injuries, which could weaken their overall team structure, especially defensively. Conversely, Milan has a relatively clearer bill of health, allowing them to field a more robust starting eleven. Considering the match odds, the market heavily favours an away win, which further supports the analysis. The Asian handicap lines reflect the expectation of Milan's dominance. Given Milan’s stronger attacking capabilities and Cagliari's defensive issues, coupled with injury concerns, predicting an under for goals is reasonable. Milan is expected to control possession and dictate the pace of the game, limiting Cagliari's scoring opportunities. Therefore, AC Milan is the clear favourite for this match, with a win and an under on goals as the most likely outcomes.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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