AC Milan travels to Cagliari with a clear advantage, making them the favorites in this Serie A clash. Considering the recent form, AC Milan has shown more consistency, particularly in their away games where they managed a victory against Torino and displayed a strong performance despite a loss against Napoli in a cup match. Their offensive prowess seems to be slightly better than Cagliari's. Cagliari's recent performances have been mixed. Their home form shows a tendency for draws and losses, as seen against Torino and Atalanta. While they did manage a win against AS Roma, their overall form isn't as strong as AC Milan’s. The injury list for Cagliari is also a concern, potentially weakening their squad depth. Considering the match odds, the Asian Handicap favors AC Milan with a -1.0 goal handicap, reflecting their expected dominance. The odds suggest a high probability of an AC Milan win. The Over/Under market is set at 2.25 goals, and given the recent defensive performances of both teams, and the potential impact of injuries on Cagliari’s attacking options, betting under on the goals scored looks like a safer play. Therefore, a conservative approach would be to back AC Milan to win with the handicap and also consider betting under 2.25 goals in the match. This strategy mitigates risk by acknowledging Milan's stronger form while accounting for the possibility of a tighter defensive battle. This analysis leans towards a controlled and methodical prediction, prioritizing a safety-first approach to maximize the probability of a positive outcome.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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