In this Saudi Professional League match, Al Najma(KSA) hosts Al-Khaleej. Al Najma(KSA) has struggled this season, with a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses after 11 rounds, accumulating only 1 point. They average 0.73 goals scored and 2.09 goals conceded per game, placing them in the lower end of the league in both attack and defense. Their home form is particularly poor, with four consecutive home defeats and an average of 2 goals conceded per match. Over their last six matches, they have a record of 1 draw and 5 losses, never leading at halftime, and showing weak performance in adapting their tactics. Their approach relies on a five-defender formation and counter-attacks. Al-Khaleej, on the other hand, has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in 11 rounds, earning 14 points. They average 2.18 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded per game, demonstrating a clear strength in attack. Their away form shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 6 matches, averaging 2.17 goals scored. They deploy a 4-4-2 formation, favoring wing crosses and set pieces, with a 23% success rate from set-piece opportunities. From a tactical and statistical perspective, the two teams present a stark contrast. Al Najma(KSA)'s offensive and defensive systems have significant vulnerabilities, with an average possession rate of only 41%. They lack midfield control, and while counter-attacks account for 60% of their scoring, the success rate is only 12%. They rely too heavily on individual breakthroughs, and have a player with injury issues, further weakening their strength. Al-Khaleej's attack is potent, with 14.5 shots per game, and full-team defense resulting in 16.8 tackles per game. However, their defensive stability is lacking, conceding an average of 2 goals per away game, with a recent record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches. While Al Najma(KSA) has the home advantage, their poor home record this season contrasts with Al-Khaleej's attacking strengths. The key to this match is whether Al Najma(KSA) can use its defensive formation to limit the opponent's attacks and capitalize on counter-attack opportunities. Al-Khaleej needs to avoid complacency, leverage its offensive advantages, and strengthen its defense to minimize conceded goals. Recommendation: Al-Khaleej -0.5
*For reference only, not betting advice
Like
Comments
