Yesterday's predictions saw a strong showing, with 6 out of 7 correct picks. A similar trend continues with recent successes in the Premier League (6 out of 7) and A-League (4 out of 5). This article will break down the key factors influencing the match. Cagliari's primary objective this season is to remain in the Italian Serie A. Currently, they sit in 14th place with 20 points, narrowly above the relegation zone, meaning significant pressure to secure points. AC Milan have demonstrated impressive consistency this season, currently second in the league with 35 points (10 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss), just one point behind league leaders Inter Milan and unbeaten in 15 league matches. Cagliari are expected to employ a defensive 4-2-3-1 formation, aiming to compress the central area and limit space. They will likely cede possession, relying on counter-attacks and set pieces to create opportunities. AC Milan, despite their superior quality, are unlikely to take excessive risks in their quest for the title, potentially hindering their attacking efficiency against a well-organised defence. Team news is another factor. Cagliari face significant absences with eight key players unavailable, which impacts their attacking creativity, as seen in their recent average of less than 0.5 goals per game over the last six matches. AC Milan also have injury concerns in their defensive line, along with the uncertainty surrounding Rafael Leão, potentially impacting their attacking prowess. Both teams show limitations in their goal-scoring capabilities. Statistical data indicates a 47.7% probability of a low-scoring game. Considering both teams' tendencies for low-scoring matches this season and their history of low-scoring encounters, the under 2.5 goals prediction appears reasonable.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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