Al-Nassr has been dominant in the Saudi Professional League this season, boasting an impressive record of ten wins and one draw, placing them at the top of the table. Their attack has been formidable, but a recent away draw ended their winning streak. Al-Ahli, currently fourth in the league, has maintained an unbeaten home record and a solid defence, though their recent form has been inconsistent. Historically, Al-Nassr holds a psychological advantage, and Al-Ahli is missing several key players due to injury, adding to the match's complexity. The Asian handicap initially favoured Al-Nassr, offering them a half-goal advantage with a lower payout. This has shifted further in favour of Al-Nassr as the odds have decreased further. European odds reflect this, with the odds for a Al-Nassr win dropping from around 1.74 to approximately 1.60, aligning with the Asian handicap's trend. Al-Nassr's league performance has been exceptional, securing ten wins and a draw in eleven matches. Despite the recent draw, their offensive prowess and away performance remain strong. In their last ten games, they have achieved eight wins, one draw, and one loss. Al-Ahli is currently fourth, unbeaten at home and with a strong defence, but their form has fluctuated, with four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six league matches, including a home defeat against Al-Nassr. Historical data favours Al-Nassr, who are unbeaten in their last five encounters, with three wins and two draws. The current odds adjustments haven't weakened support for Al-Nassr following their recent draw; instead, they have reinforced their advantage by lowering the odds on a win. Considering team strengths and recent form, Al-Nassr is still considered to have the upper hand. The data suggests that this advantage could lead to a favourable outcome. Prediction: Away, Al-Nassr -0.75 0-1 0-2.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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