Right, let's break this down. Rayo Vallecano are at home, and the odds suggest they're slight favorites. Looking at the head-to-head, it's been a mixed bag, but home advantage often counts for something. Getafe can be tough to crack, but the -0.25 Asian Handicap suggests the bookies see Rayo with a slight edge to win. I'm leaning towards a Rayo Vallecano win here. Home advantage is key, and their odds are decent. The injury data is important but we don't have detail to affect the outcome greatly. The 1.75 over/under line is a low one, and given the history and the teams involved, I’m taking the under on that one. This match might be a bit cagey, both teams are organized, so I'm predicting a low-scoring match. I am betting on a Rayo Vallecano win, with fewer than 2 goals in the game.