Derby County's season has been inconsistent, accumulating 32 points after 24 rounds and sitting mid-table. Their home win rate is only 25%. In their last six league matches, they've only secured one win, and their defence has conceded a significant number of goals. Furthermore, they face injury concerns with several key midfielders and forwards sidelined, which could impact their attacking capabilities. Middlesbrough currently holds second place in the league standings, demonstrating overall stability. Their away record is strong. However, they are winless in their last two league games, and their attacking efficiency has declined. Additionally, they have key defensive players unavailable. In head-to-head encounters, Middlesbrough has the upper hand in the last five meetings. The match will likely focus on how Derby County, playing at home, can leverage their home advantage to withstand Middlesbrough, who, while in better form, has shown some recent inconsistencies. The ability of Derby County's depleted attack to penetrate Middlesbrough's relatively solid defence will be a key aspect of the match. The current Asian handicap is set at Middlesbrough giving a quarter-goal advantage, but the odds offered do not strongly favour Middlesbrough, suggesting caution from the public regarding their chances. Considering the data, there's a lack of full confidence in Middlesbrough, whose recent form has been fluctuating. Their handicap mainly reflects their paper strength and league position rather than their current form. Therefore, at home, Derby County, with the advantage of playing at their home ground and considering Middlesbrough's recent decline, is expected to avoid defeat. Prediction: Derby County +0.25.