Middlesbrough travels to Pride Park to face Derby County in what promises to be an intriguing Championship encounter. Analyzing the available data, a Middlesbrough victory seems the most probable outcome. Middlesbrough's league position at second, significantly higher than Derby County at fourteenth, reflects their superior form and squad quality. Middlesbrough have demonstrated a more consistent performance throughout the season and have a positive goal difference. While Derby County has been inconsistent, Middlesbrough has shown signs of a team aspiring for promotion. Historically, the head-to-head record also leans towards Middlesbrough, suggesting they have a tactical advantage. Though head-to-head records aren't always definitive, they provide a valuable indication of a team's ability to compete against their opponent. Considering their wins in recent encounters with Derby County, Middlesbrough are well-placed to secure a win. Looking at the odds, the bookmakers favor Middlesbrough. The Asian Handicap of Middlesbrough -0.25 also indicates they are expected to win. The over/under market has a line of 2.25 goals, implying an expectation of a relatively low-scoring game. Considering Middlesbrough's defensive solidity, I predict an under 2.25 goals market. In conclusion, based on league standings, head-to-head records, and the bookmakers' odds, Middlesbrough is the favorite in this match, with their form and tactical approach suggesting a solid win. Therefore, a bet on Middlesbrough to win, paired with an under 2.25 goals prediction, looks to be a sensible choice, aligning with the expected dynamics of the game.