Liverpool, currently fourth in the English Premier League, faces Leeds United at home. Liverpool's recent form has been inconsistent, with four wins and two draws in their last six league matches, while their home performance has been strong. However, they are dealing with injuries that will see some key players miss the match. Leeds United, fighting to avoid relegation, has shown improved form, remaining unbeaten in their last four league games with two wins and two draws, demonstrating resilience and attacking prowess. Their previous encounter ended in a draw at Leeds United's home. Initially, the betting data favoured Liverpool with a significant handicap, reflecting their traditional strength and home advantage. However, the odds have since shifted. Most mainstream data providers have adjusted the handicap to one goal for Liverpool, while reducing the odds for Leeds United. European odds also reflect this change, with the odds for a Liverpool win increasing, and the odds for a draw or a Leeds United win decreasing. Liverpool's recent record includes several draws despite remaining unbeaten, and their team is affected by uncertainty, making their home form's stability questionable. Leeds United, highly motivated to earn points to avoid relegation, has shown strong resistance and attacking improvement, notably drawing with Liverpool in their last match. The current data adjustments suggest that there are doubts about Liverpool covering the current handicap, and the initial overestimation has created an opportunity for the resurgent and highly motivated Leeds United. Prediction: Leeds United +1, score prediction 2-1, 2-3

*For reference only, not betting advice
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