Watford currently holds sixth place in the England Championship, demonstrating excellent recent form. They are undefeated in their last six league matches, with four wins and two draws, including a three-game winning streak. Their home record is also quite solid. Birmingham City is positioned 15th in the league and is experiencing a period of poor form. They are winless in their last six matches, with three draws and three losses, and their away performances have been particularly weak. Looking at their previous encounters, Watford has the edge, winning three, drawing one, and losing one of their last five meetings. Despite Birmingham City's recent struggles, they have not always been outmatched in recent clashes, even securing a home victory in their last meeting. They show resilience in defense, often drawing games, indicating they are not easily defeated. Although Watford is strong at home and on a winning streak, the odds' development doesn't fully support their favor. High expectations might put them under pressure. Considering Birmingham City's handicap, their ability to defend and potentially earn a point away from home shouldn't be overlooked. The evolving odds favor the away team. Prediction: Birmingham City +0.25

*For reference only, not betting advice
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