Southampton's recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of five wins, two draws, and three losses in their last ten league matches. Their home performance has been relatively stable, but their defence shows vulnerabilities. They are currently dealing with injuries to several defenders and midfielders, impacting their squad's overall strength. Millwall currently holds a strong position in fifth place in the standings, displaying a more consistent overall performance. However, their recent away form has been fluctuating, with only four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten away games. They also face injury concerns, particularly in the goalkeeper and defensive lines. The initial total goals value set by external sources for this match is 2.5/3 goals, with a low over-goal value of 0.75. The current value remains at 2.5/3 goals, but the over-goal value has increased significantly to 1.13. Southampton has scored 10 goals but conceded 9 in their last six league games, showcasing a dynamic attacking and defensive style. They have a good scoring ability at home but also have obvious defensive weaknesses. Despite Millwall's higher ranking, their recent away defence has not been solid, with many goals conceded in their last ten away matches. Furthermore, two out of the last three encounters between these two teams have seen a total of more than three goals scored, suggesting an attacking approach. European data adjustments related to the number of goals are not significant, but the continuous increase in the over-goal value in Asian data reflects external expectations for a higher number of goals. This is balanced by increasing the value. Given that Southampton needs to secure points at home and may adopt a more aggressive strategy, and that Millwall is not typically defensive in their previous encounters, with both teams' recent form indicating defensive shortcomings, the possibility of a match with many goals remains a point of interest. Prediction: Over 2.75, score 2-1, 2-2.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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