This England Championship clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough presents a compelling betting scenario. The provided match data reveals key factors influencing the predicted outcome. The most significant factor is the injury data. Derby County is significantly hampered, with four key players ruled out. Their absence is likely to disrupt team cohesion and weaken both their attacking and defensive capabilities. Middlesbrough, on the other hand, seems less affected by injuries, with only two players sidelined. This disparity in squad strength, coupled with the home advantage for Derby being somewhat negated by their injuries, tilts the balance in Middlesbrough's favor. Analyzing the match odds further supports this assessment. The win-draw-loss odds favor Middlesbrough (2.30) over Derby (3.10), indicating a higher probability of an away win. The Asian Handicap of +0.25 on Middlesbrough reflects a slight advantage, implying that even a draw benefits Middlesbrough. The odds also suggest a tight match, which we believe will be won by Middlesbrough. The Over/Under market is also insightful. The over/under line is set at 2.25 goals. Given the injuries to Derby's key players, we anticipate a potentially low-scoring affair. Both teams might adopt a more cautious approach, prioritizing defensive solidity. The odds on Under 2.25 goals (0.95) are slightly more favorable, pointing toward a match where fewer goals are expected. Considering the current form and the impact of the injuries, a Middlesbrough win appears to be the most likely outcome. While Derby County might try to leverage home advantage, their weakened squad significantly diminishes their chances. We predict Middlesbrough to win the match. Furthermore, given the circumstances, betting under 2.25 goals appears to be the safer option. In conclusion, the combination of injury data, win-draw-loss odds, and the over/under market paints a clear picture. Middlesbrough's relative squad strength and better availability of key players give them a distinct edge. The prediction leans toward a Middlesbrough victory in a match likely to feature a low goal count. Therefore, placing bets on Middlesbrough to win with an Asian Handicap of +0.25 and Under 2.25 goals is a reasonable strategy for this match.