This England Championship match sees Derby County hosting Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough, currently sitting comfortably in second place, are clear favourites against a Derby County side struggling in mid-table. Analysing the provided data, a compelling case emerges for backing Middlesbrough in this encounter. Middlesbrough's superior league position and goal difference (+8) compared to Derby County's 0, clearly indicates a stronger team. Their away win odds of 2.30 are reflective of this. While Derby has a decent record at home, Middlesbrough's consistent performance throughout the season, with 12 wins, 7 draws and only 5 losses, suggests they possess the quality to overcome Derby. The Asian Handicap favors Middlesbrough with a +0.25 handicap. Given the difference in form, backing Middlesbrough with this handicap presents a good opportunity. Even a draw would result in a win on this market. This bet provides a buffer, minimizing risk. The Over/Under market presents a different perspective. The odds suggest a relatively tight match. The over/under line is set at 2.25 goals. While both teams can score, Middlesbrough's away games have seen a lower average goal count compared to Derby's home games. Given the potential for a tactical battle and Middlesbrough's likely approach to control the game, predicting under 2.25 goals seems prudent. Looking at the betting odds, the win/draw/loss market further reinforces the prediction. Middlesbrough's odds are significantly lower, pointing to a higher probability of them winning. Derby County's odds suggest a lower probability of winning, further supporting our prediction. Considering the league standings, team form, and the odds, the prediction leans towards a Middlesbrough victory. Therefore, the recommended bets are Middlesbrough to win and under 2.25 goals in the match.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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