Gabon, already eliminated from the competition, will play for pride in this match. They have suffered two consecutive losses in the group stage, indicating a dip in form. Although their key player, Aubameyang, scored in the previous game, there are reports he may miss the match due to injury, which would significantly weaken their scoring ability. Gabon has conceded four goals in two matches, revealing defensive vulnerabilities. As the defending champions, Ivory Coast has control of their qualification destiny and a clear motivation to advance. They are unbeaten in eight of their last nine games, demonstrating consistent form. Manchester United winger Amad Diallo has scored in two consecutive matches, posing a significant attacking threat. Ivory Coast's defence is solid, conceding less than one goal per game on average in their last 10 matches. Historically, Ivory Coast holds a clear advantage in head-to-head encounters. Ivory Coast is in a favourable position, needing only a draw to secure their place in the next round, and may even rotate their squad for the knockout stages. Gabon, with no pressure to qualify, might play with more freedom, aiming to compete for their honour and a farewell performance for their core players. This contrast in motivation further reduces the urgency for Ivory Coast to aggressively attack and seek a dominant victory. Despite Ivory Coast's overall strength, their attacking efficiency is a concern. They have only scored two goals in the first two group stage matches, highlighting issues in breaking down tight defences and inconsistent finishing. Facing a defensive, counter-attacking strategy from Gabon, Ivory Coast's attacking prowess will be seriously tested. In contrast, Gabon, having lost their hopes of qualification, is expected to adopt a more conservative and pragmatic tactical approach, focusing on solid defence and relying on midfielders like Lemina to launch quick counter-attacks, which could partly compensate for individual limitations. Overall, Ivory Coast still has the upper hand in terms of overall strength and form, giving them a higher probability of winning. However, considering their low attacking efficiency, the possibility of tactical conservatism, and Gabon's determined fight for pride, it will be a major challenge for Ivory Coast to win by more than one goal.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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