In an upcoming Africa Cup of Nations match, Sudan will face Burkina Faso. The analysis highlights a significant difference in offensive efficiency between the two teams. Sudan's attacking finishing conversion rate is only 12% (league average 18%), with an xG efficiency of 0.85 (4th in the league). Burkina Faso, on the other hand, shows a 58% success rate in key passes (3rd in the league), but with a low value of 0.62 in passes in the final third (8th in the league). Sudan demonstrates strong midfield control, with 55%+ possession and a transition speed of 6.2 seconds per possession (near the fastest in the league). Burkina Faso relies on long passes (14.3 per game) but with a success rate of only 41%. Sudan's defense shows dominance, averaging 15.7 tackles (2nd in the league), 10.4 interceptions (3rd in the league), and an 82% clearance success rate (1st in the league). Their offensive efficiency contrasts with their goal-scoring opportunities: an xG total of 1.2 but only 0.9 actual goals, reflecting their defensive pressure on Burkina Faso. The interception rate of first key passes is 43%, with xG limited to 1.5. Data models show Sudan's xG difference at -0.3. Burkina Faso's expected goals are 1.5, but the actual conversion rate is only 58%. Considering the running data (Sudan +12% high-intensity sprints), defensive coverage (Sudan averages 8.3 blocks of attacking finishes), and the xG efficiency difference, the match is likely to end 1-0 or 0-0. Recommendation: Under 1.75 goals.