A detailed analysis of the Africa Cup of Nations match between Mozambique and Cameroon reveals crucial performance indicators. Mozambique's attacking efficiency is a key concern, with a conversion rate of only 9.8%, significantly below the tournament average of 14.2%. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency of 0.87 also lags behind Cameroon's 1.12. Furthermore, Mozambique's key pass success rate stands at 41%, considerably lower than their opponent's. In midfield, Cameroon demonstrates a faster transition speed, averaging 3.2 seconds to advance possession, which is 0.6 seconds quicker than Mozambique. Physical data highlights that Mozambique's high-intensity sprints (18) are less than 62% of Cameroon's (29). In the final third, Mozambique's passing value coefficient is 0.73, below Cameroon's 0.91. Cameroon's defensive solidity is evident through a 92% clearance success rate, leading the match, and 17 interceptions, nine more than Mozambique. Their defensive actions, particularly interceptions and clearances, are concentrated in their own half. While Cameroon created eight shots on target, their xG value was only 1.12, with a discrepancy of 0.35 goals from their actual scoring. Considering that the combined xG for both teams is close to the over/under line of 2.25 and Mozambique's pressing efficiency is only 58%, the prediction leans towards a low-scoring game. Additionally, past encounters have consistently seen less than 2.5 total goals. The slower pace of the game, with an average touch time of 2.8 seconds, supports this view. The recommendation is for Under 2.25 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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