A detailed analysis of the upcoming Egypt League Cup match between ZED FC and Haras El Hedoud reveals crucial insights. ZED FC demonstrates a superior attacking conversion rate of 15% compared to Haras El Hedoud's 8%. Furthermore, ZED FC's expected goals (xG) efficiency of 1.2 surpasses Haras El Hedoud's 0.9, indicating a stronger finishing ability. ZED FC also holds an advantage in key passing accuracy, with 60% compared to Haras El Hedoud's 45%. Their forward passing value is 0.8, exceeding Haras El Hedoud's 0.5, and they control the midfield with a 55% dominance. ZED FC's physical conditioning appears superior, as evidenced by a running distance of 110km, considerably more than Haras El Hedoud's 95km. They also lead in high-intensity sprints, with 25 compared to Haras El Hedoud's 18. Defensively, Haras El Hedoud exhibits weaknesses, with only 12 interceptions and a tackling success rate below 50%. This led to ZED FC having three clear chances. ZED FC had 48 touches in the attacking third, generating an xG of 2.3, including three finishing chances with an xG above 0.5. In contrast, Haras El Hedoud had an xG of 1.1 and only one shot on target. ZED FC's expected goal advantage is 1.2 goals. Combining these factors, the total xG for both teams is 3.4. Given ZED FC's 75% shot conversion rate and Haras El Hedoud's 65% defensive goals conceded rate, the probability of over 1.5 goals is estimated to be over 72%. The recommendation is Over 1.5 Goals.