In an upcoming Africa Cup of Nations match, Sudan faces off against Burkina Faso. Burkina Faso boasts a higher average expected goals (xG) of 1.8 in their last five matches, surpassing Sudan's 1.2. They also have a superior key pass success rate, leading by 12 percentage points. Their attacking capabilities are further highlighted by a forward pass value index of 1.73, signifying stronger penetration. Furthermore, Burkina Faso controls the midfield with a 58% possession rate, outmaneuvering Sudan's 42%, and exhibits a swift transition with 2.3 counter-attacks per minute. Their high-intensity running is also noteworthy, with 28% of their 109km total distance covered in high-intensity sprints, 6 percentage points more than Sudan. Burkina Faso leads the Africa Cup of Nations in interceptions, averaging 14.7 per match, and demonstrates defensive solidity with an 89% clearance success rate. Their xG conversion rate in attack is 34%, exceeding the league average by 12 percentage points. Over their last three matches, the difference between their expected goals and actual goals is only 0.1, indicating excellent chance conversion. Sudan's defense shows vulnerabilities, conceding an xG value of 2.5 per match to opponents while converting only 0.7 goals, with a high defensive error rate of 23%. Historical encounters show an xG comparison of 3.2-1.5, with Burkina Faso-0.5 having a 67% probability of success. Recommendation: Burkina Faso -0.5