Analysing the Tactical Battle: Neom SC vs. Al-Ittihad FC in the Saudi Pro League - A Deep Dive into Key Statistics and Strategic Approaches

Al-Ittihad FC demonstrates precision in their attacking efficiency, with a high goal conversion rate of 18.3% (3rd in the league), significantly better than Neom SC's 12.7%. Their xG efficiency of 1.02/90 minutes, compared to Neom SC's 0.85/90 minutes, showcases a stronger ability to convert scoring chances. Al-Ittihad FC also leads in key pass success rate at 78.4% compared to their opponent's 69.2%, and their forward pass value (PAx) reaches 3.2 times/match, surpassing Neom SC's 2.5 times/match. In terms of midfield control, Al-Ittihad FC averages 54 ball recoveries per match, with a quick transition speed of 2.1 seconds on average, effectively suppressing their opponent's organisation. This is combined with an average running distance of 112.3km and 19 high-intensity sprints, further limiting their opponent's ability to build attacks. The defensive data is even more compelling: Al-Ittihad FC averages 14.7 interceptions (2nd in the league) and 12.3 tackles per match, supported by an 86% clearance success rate, constructing a strong defensive line. Their xG comparison shows an actual goal output exceeding the expected value by 9.3%, highlighting their ability to convert key opportunities. Considering Neom SC's record of Under 3.25 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, with an average total of 2.1 goals per game, and the tactical matchups between the two teams, the recommendation is Under 3.25 goals.