This analysis focuses on the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations match between Mozambique and Cameroon. The match data reveals a significant disparity in recent form, favouring Cameroon. Cameroon’s recent results, though not always victories, demonstrate a more robust defensive structure compared to Mozambique's. Mozambique has struggled defensively, conceding goals in most of their recent matches, as seen in their losses against Gabon and Angola. Cameroon's recent performances indicate a team capable of controlling the game, even if not always dominant. Their draw against Ivory Coast and victory over Gabon showcase their ability to compete at a higher level than Mozambique. The odds reflect this assessment, with Cameroon being the clear favourite. The Asian Handicap reflects the perceived difference in quality. The handicap of -0.75 in favour of Cameroon suggests a strong expectation of a win. Given the defensive vulnerabilities of Mozambique and Cameroon's solid, if unspectacular, form, betting on Cameroon to cover this handicap seems reasonable. Considering the recent form and the odds provided, the prediction for this match is a win for Cameroon. Their defensive solidity and ability to grind out results, coupled with Mozambique's defensive frailties, make this the most probable outcome. While Mozambique might score a goal, Cameroon's ability to limit opportunities and potentially score more makes them the likely victor. Therefore, the over/under prediction leans towards under 2.25 goals, given the likely game scenario, and a cagey affair is anticipated.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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