Analysing the data, Equatorial Guinea's attacking capabilities at home are significantly lacking, scoring only 8 goals throughout the season, averaging 0.8 goals per match, which is below the league average. Their defence faces challenges, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per home game, and their goal-scoring efficiency is limited to 0.5 when playing in similar home and away scenarios, indicating a lack of consistent offensive power. Furthermore, Equatorial Guinea players show a lack of discipline, with an average of 1.2 yellow cards per game, often leading to fouls in critical moments. Algeria's overall performance is robust, with a total of 19 goals scored this season, averaging 1.9 goals per match, demonstrating a strong offensive ability. Their attacking efficiency is even higher in away games, with an average of 5.2 shots per match, and a significant advantage in corner kicks, demonstrating quick transitions in both attack and defence. Against similar teams, they have only conceded 1 goal, with a net goal difference of +6, indicating a resilient defensive system. Crucially, they maintain an undefeated record with a 100% win rate in the same competition, showcasing high morale and a stable form. Comparing the data, Algeria excels in both attack and defence, outperforming the home team in ball control and the ability to finish matches. While Equatorial Guinea's home advantage may provide some support, their limited offensive firepower and defensive weaknesses are unlikely to withstand the stronger visiting team.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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