Central Coast Mariners' recent form has been poor, suffering three consecutive league defeats and failing to win in five matches. Their defence is particularly vulnerable, conceding fifteen goals in nine games, the second-highest in the league. They've conceded an average of two goals in their last five matches, highlighting significant defensive issues. Despite a historical advantage in head-to-head matches, the absence of their captain and injuries to several defensive players have weakened their overall strength, making their home advantage less impactful. Brisbane Roar have shown considerable improvement this season, primarily due to their solid defensive system, conceding only five goals in nine matches, averaging 0.56 goals per game, which is excellent in the league. Their overall performance is stable, with only two losses in their last ten matches. However, their away form is a concern, with only a 20% win rate, and their attacking efficiency is also somewhat limited, averaging only one goal per game. Central Coast Mariners employ an aggressive high-press tactic, but due to defensive injuries and poor overall form, there's a significant disconnect between their attack and defence. While they have a strong historical record against Brisbane Roar, their current poor morale and defensive vulnerabilities make it difficult to convert any psychological advantage into actual results. Playing at home might inspire the team, but breaking through the league's best defence will still be a considerable challenge. Brisbane Roar rely on a defence centred around Thompson, creating a solid defensive structure, which is a model in the league. However, their away form is a weakness, with a declining win rate in recent away games. Their offensive creativity is limited, often lacking ways to break down opponents who defend resolutely. After losing their last match, this game against a struggling Central Coast Mariners is a significant opportunity to get back on track, and the team's motivation is clear. The Mariners' defence is disorganised, but Brisbane Roar's away attack isn't particularly strong. Brisbane Roar's defence is almost impenetrable, while the Mariners still have the ability to score at home. Considering the tactical styles of both teams, especially Brisbane Roar's defensive counter-attack strategy, the match is likely to be slow-paced with few scoring opportunities. Overall, Brisbane Roar's defensive system remains their foundation, but the energy Central Coast Mariners might unleash at home shouldn't be underestimated. The match will likely see Brisbane Roar controlling possession and Central Coast Mariners seeking opportunities to counter-attack. Overall, Central Coast Mariners are expected to defend their home ground and achieve a turnaround. Prediction: 1-1. 2-1