Having analysed Sudan's previous matches, it's noted that the players' motivation might be affected by the football association's financial issues. Despite this, they managed a 1-0 victory against Equatorial Guinea in the last round, benefiting from an own goal. According to local media, Sudan could potentially advance to the round of 16 as one of the best four third-placed teams, leveraging that single goal. If Sudan fails to score in this upcoming match, they would become the first team in the Africa Cup of Nations to reach the knockout stage without scoring their own goals, which would be quite unusual. Sudan needs only a draw in this game to almost secure a third-place finish and qualification. Even a defeat against Burkina Faso wouldn't necessarily eliminate them, provided they don't concede too many goals. However, Burkina Faso's situation is similar, given their historical advantage over Equatorial Guinea. The two teams' situations are thus comparable. Initially, the odds for the match between Sudan and Burkina Faso were level, but the current world ranking gap is significant, approximately 60 places. Despite this, Burkina Faso only has a 0.5-goal handicap, which is also decreasing, indicating insufficient support. I favour Sudan to avoid defeat. Recommendation: Back Sudan +0.5