Arsenal, currently topping the table with 42 points, boasts a formidable home record, securing 8 wins and 1 draw in 9 matches. Aston Villa, positioned third with 39 points, is demonstrating strong title aspirations, riding a wave of 11 consecutive victories across all competitions. Notably, Aston Villa won the first leg 2-1 against Arsenal. In terms of recent form, Arsenal has achieved 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games, including a six-match winning streak at home. Aston Villa, however, has a perfect record in their last 10 matches, but their away form has been slightly inconsistent, with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which appears shaky against stronger teams. Historical head-to-head records favour Aston Villa, who have won 3, drawn 1, and lost 1 of the last 5 encounters. Arsenal will be missing Gabriel and Havertz due to injuries, with Saliba and Timber's availability uncertain. Rice may be deployed as a full-back. Aston Villa faces suspensions for Cash and Kamara, potentially impacting their right flank and midfield defensive capabilities. Arsenal averages over 2 goals per home game, and their set-piece attack ranks third in the Premier League. Aston Villa's counter-attack success rate is 34%, and forward Watkins has scored 6 goals in 11 matches against Arsenal. Arsenal's attack relies on the collaboration of Saka, Eze, and Odegaard, with Saka contributing 10 goals and 6 assists this season. The midfield is controlled by Rice and Zubimendi. The reshuffled defence is a concern, with vulnerabilities in aerial duels and set-piece defence. Arsenal's efficiency in finishing from open play also needs improvement. Prediction: Over 2.75 goals Score prediction: 2:1, 3:1
*For reference only, not betting advice
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