The Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Everton is analysed, focusing on key performance indicators. Nottingham Forest's recent attacking efficiency is a key area of consideration. Their finishing conversion rate in the last five matches is only 8.3%, with an expected goals (xG) efficiency of 0.67 per match. Everton shows a contrasting performance, boasting a 12.1% conversion rate and 1.12 xG per match over the same period. Everton's success in key passes, with a 48% completion rate, is notably higher than their opponents by 19 percentage points. Their passes in the final third are also more valuable, with a rate of 0.81 per 90 minutes. Everton's midfield control is another area of strength, holding 58% possession. Their speed of transition in attack is impressive, reaching 2.4 m/s, significantly faster than their opponents. Additionally, Everton averages 109km in total running distance per match and completes 23 high-intensity sprints, exceeding their opponent's count. Everton's defensive dominance is evident in their statistics. They rank in the top five in the Premier League for both tackles (18.3) and interceptions (12.7) per match. Their clearance success rate of 71% further consolidates their defensive strength. The team's offensive efficiency shows a positive deviation from their expected goals (xG). In their last three matches, the actual goals scored have exceeded their xG by more than 0.5 goals. The xG comparison highlights Everton's 2.13 versus Nottingham Forest's 1.07. However, the teams' combined average goals per match is only 2.05. Defensive data supports the prediction, with Everton's attacking end-product coming from outside the box 64% of the time. Their success in aerial duels, with a 59% success rate, limits direct threats. Prediction: Under 2.25 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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