An unmissable English Premier League encounter is on the horizon, with Chelsea set to face AFC Bournemouth at 03:30. This match has undergone thorough analysis, highlighting key performance indicators for both teams. Chelsea's attacking prowess is evident in their recent form. Over their last six matches, they've averaged 8.2 shots on target per game, with an expected goals (xG) efficiency of 1.25. AFC Bournemouth, in comparison, managed 5.1 shots on target during the same period, but with a lower xG of only 0.73. Chelsea also demonstrates superior passing accuracy, with a 68% success rate in key passes, 19 percentage points higher than their opponents. In the final 30 meters, Chelsea creates 4.3 threatening attacks per match through passing. In terms of midfield control, Chelsea dominates with an average possession rate of 72%, and a quick transition speed of 5.1 seconds per possession turnover. AFC Bournemouth struggles in this area, experiencing an average of 14.6 ball losses per match. Defensively, Chelsea records 18.3 interceptions per game, coupled with an 81% clearance success rate. AFC Bournemouth, conversely, concedes 12.4 penetrating passes per match. Chelsea's attacking efficiency is further underscored by their ability to convert chances. Over their last three matches, the ratio of xG to actual goals scored is 1.08:1, while AFC Bournemouth's is only 0.82:1. The xG data indicates that Chelsea is expected to score 2.1 goals per match, compared to AFC Bournemouth's 1.0. Considering the average number of attacking finishes for both teams, at 14.7/12.3, the probability of a high-scoring game reaches 68%. The prediction is over 3.25 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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