Match: 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Group C, final round Time: December 31, 2025, 00:00 (Beijing time) Venue: Stade de Fes, Morocco (Neutral Ground) Recent Form and Ranking Analysis: Uganda (3rd): Home resilience is evident, but the attack struggles. Recent performance: 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in the last 10 matches (6 goals scored, 11 conceded). A 1-1 draw against Tanzania ended a losing streak on the road, but the overall form hasn't improved. Current standings: 1 point, currently 3rd in the group (relegation zone), only 1 point behind 2nd place for qualification. Nigeria (1st): Championship favourite, strong away form. Recent performance: 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses in the last 10 matches (13 goals scored, 6 conceded). Ranked 1st in the group (already advanced to the knockout stage). Only needs a draw to secure the group. Head-to-Head and Psychological Advantage: In the last 4 meetings: Uganda 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Nigeria has already qualified, while Uganda must win to advance. Based on the significant difference in basic strength, coupled with the initial odds from European bookmakers favoring a home win in the range of 3.2-1.5, with the odds for a loss deliberately kept under 3, there's a clear intention to favour the away side. Asian experts adopt different strategies due to varying player perceptions in different regions. Even so, an additional 0.06 is added to block, and the subsequent significant increase in the odds for a win and the levelling of loss, causing the overall distribution to shift rightwards. The draw odds are lowered to accommodate uncertain players. Combined with the opening of a one-goal handicap, and an immediate increase to a one-and-a-half goal handicap, to give confidence. Prediction: Nigeria to win (If the handicap is a level game, it is recommended to avoid betting). Recommended scores: 1-2, 0-2, 1-3

*For reference only, not betting advice
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