Burnley faces Newcastle United in a Premier League match. Burnley's recent attacking efficiency has been poor, with a finishing conversion rate of only 8.3% over their last five games. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency is 0.72, significantly lower than Newcastle United's 1.15. Newcastle United demonstrates superior control in midfield, with a conversion speed of 6.2 km/h, which is 0.8 km/h faster than Burnley. The away team's key pass success rate is 64%, 12 percentage points higher than the home side. Newcastle United's attacking value from passes is 2.3 times per 90 minutes. Burnley's total running distance is 112 km, but they have only managed 28 high-intensity sprints, with less than 30 combined interceptions and tackles in defense. Newcastle United's expected goals for the match are 1.87 compared to Burnley's 0.93, indicating the away team's dominance in advanced statistics. Newcastle United's pressing efficiency in the final third reaches 82%, with a clearance success rate of 91%, creating an effective defensive barrier. Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with a 35% conversion rate for scoring opportunities created by the opposition. Considering the handicap of Newcastle United -1, the away team's attacking and defensive data aligns with a strong team's characteristics. Prediction: Newcastle United -1
*For reference only, not betting advice
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