West Ham United face Brighton & Hove Albion in a highly anticipated Premier League encounter. West Ham's recent form in the league has seen a low shot conversion rate, averaging only 8.3% for shots on target across their last six matches. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency is at 0.82, placing them among the league's lower-performing teams in this metric. In contrast, Brighton's key pass success rate stands out at 54%, with this figure maintained across their recent three matches, showcasing their ability to unlock defenses. Their attacking efficiency is reflected in a forward pass value index of 3.2, placing them in the top 10 in the Premier League. West Ham's midfield faces challenges, with a high interception rate of 23%, and their transition speed is slower by 1.8 seconds per instance. Despite covering an average of 107km per match, their high-intensity sprints are fewer than Brighton's. Brighton's defensive solidity is also evident. They average 14.6 interceptions per game (third-best in the Premier League), with a 71% interception success rate. Their clearance threat value reaches 2.1. Brighton's offensive efficiency shows a conversion rate of 1.23xG per goal, surpassing West Ham's 0.68xG average. While recent xG models suggest Brighton's actual goals have been lower than expected, their ability to limit their opponent's xG has improved significantly, reducing the opponent's xG average from 2.4 to 1.1. The data suggests that the final score is likely to be concentrated in the 1-1 or 2-0 range. The prediction is Under 2.75 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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