Arsenal faces Aston Villa in an English Premier League match. Analyzing the data, we can derive a probability-based prediction for the outcome. Based on the provided match data, Arsenal, currently ranked 1st, is the clear favourite. Their home form, coupled with Aston Villa's recent results, indicates a strong advantage for the Gunners. Arsenal's recent home form shows a consistent ability to score, with an average of 1.66 goals per match in their last three home games in all competitions. Aston Villa, while performing well, has shown vulnerabilities away from home. Their recent away loss against Chelsea highlights this. Arsenal's strong goal difference further supports their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. The head-to-head record provides some context, with a mixed history. However, recent form and league standings strongly favour Arsenal in this encounter. Considering Arsenal's attacking strength and Aston Villa’s defensive record, we anticipate Arsenal to control the game. Injury data indicates some absentees for both sides but doesn't significantly alter the overall dynamics of the match. The odds also strongly support an Arsenal victory. Considering all the factors, including league rankings, recent form, and head-to-head data, we predict an Arsenal win with a strong probability. The Asian Handicap leans towards Arsenal, reflecting their expected dominance. The over/under prediction for goals is also leaning towards over, given Arsenal's scoring ability and Aston Villa's capability to contribute to the scoreline. Match result leans towards an Arsenal win. Win chance: 68%. Over/Under prediction: 60%. Asian Handicap Prediction: 65%.