Chinese Basketball Association
Ningbo Rockets
106 - 73
SiChuan PinSheng Whale
Total Goals
Over
166.50
Under
166.50

The CBA match between Ningbo Rockets and Sichuan Blue Whales is set to be a compelling contest. Ningbo Rockets have shown a stable offensive performance recently, with an effective field goal percentage (eFG%) of 54.2%, surpassing Sichuan's 48.9%. They also exhibit a superior key pass success rate of 72% compared to Sichuan's 65%. In terms of ball control, Ningbo averages 49.3% possession time, 4.1% more than Sichuan. Their fast-break efficiency (fast-break points/possession) is 1.23 points, outperforming Sichuan's 0.98 points. Data also indicates that Ningbo players average 12.4 high-intensity sprints per game, with a running distance (28.7km) comparable to Sichuan's (27.3km), but with a higher sprint frequency. Sichuan Blue Whales hold a significant defensive advantage, ranking in the top three in the league for steals (8.3 per game) and blocks (5.1 per game). Their defensive efficiency (DRtg) is 108.4, better than Ningbo's 112.7. Although Ningbo has a better offensive efficiency, their points per possession (0.72 points/possession) is lower than Sichuan's (0.81 points/possession). Furthermore, the expected points model (xPts) suggests that Sichuan's theoretical score is 1.2 points lower per game. Considering that both teams' total scores in the last 5 games have not exceeded 165 points, with defensive intensity suppressing the offensive tempo, the recommendation is: Under 168.5.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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