Uganda, bottom of the group with one point, face a must-win situation, needing a victory and favorable results from other matches to advance in the Africa Cup of Nations. Nigeria, having won both their previous matches and already secured the top spot, are expected to balance caution regarding yellow cards and the opportunity to rotate their squad. This match, therefore, presents a contrast between Nigeria's defensive approach and their rotated attacking strategies. Uganda's midfield duo, Ssemazzi and Aucho, will be crucial in building a central defensive screen, with wing-backs expected to limit the opponent's penetration. Their attack relies heavily on key player, Omedi, who has scored both of Uganda's goals in the tournament. Counter-attacks often involve long passes to the forwards or wing attacks, with set pieces another key scoring opportunity. However, Uganda's defence has weaknesses, including slow transitions and struggles in aerial duels, evident in only one clean sheet in their last five matches. This can leave them vulnerable against strong opponents. A switch to a 4-3-3 formation after failing to score might be risky. Nigeria is likely to rest key players like Osimhen and Lookman, who are carrying yellow cards. However, the midfield, led by Ndidi and Onyeka, remains robust, maintaining ball possession with an 88% pass completion rate. Substitute players such as Iheanacho and Onuachu possess the ability to disrupt the defence. Nigeria's attack, combining wing play with central penetration, still maintains a strong goal-scoring record, averaging 1.9 goals in their last ten matches. Their defence involves full-backs pressing upfield to cut off the opponents' advances. Yet, defensive issues, having conceded three goals in the previous two rounds, could create opportunities for Uganda's counter-attacks. Historically, Uganda holds a psychological advantage, remaining undefeated in their last three encounters, with two wins and one draw. The key to the match lies in whether Uganda can withstand Nigeria's initial pressure and convert chances through counter-attacks or set-pieces. Meanwhile, Nigeria's substitutes will aim to capitalize on their opportunities and avoid the issue of 'attack without efficiency'. The game is poised to be an intriguing tactical battle. Good luck. Uganda +0.25