Chelsea currently sits fifth in the English Premier League, with a superior overall strength and ranking compared to 15th-placed AFC Bournemouth. Chelsea's home record is decent, but their recent form has fluctuated, with only one win in their last six league matches. Their defense faces some personnel issues, potentially impacting their home dominance. AFC Bournemouth struggles in the lower reaches of the league, and their away form is particularly weak, with only one win in nine away games this season. They are winless in their last six matches, facing a real relegation battle. However, in the last five encounters, Chelsea remains unbeaten, but three were draws, indicating AFC Bournemouth's resilience. AFC Bournemouth, despite poor away form and a lack of recent wins, has a strong motivation for survival. The team often displays defensive toughness and a strong counter-attacking spirit in crucial situations. Given the recent history of draws and narrow victories in the matches between the two sides, AFC Bournemouth is not an easy opponent. The current Asian handicap favors the stronger Chelsea, but the one-goal spread provides AFC Bournemouth with ample room. Considering Chelsea's current form and AFC Bournemouth's strong desire to secure points, a discrepancy between market sentiment and the actual situation might exist. Prediction: AFC Bournemouth +1.