Arsenal host Aston Villa in a Premier League match. Arsenal boasts a strong home record, winning eight and drawing two of their last ten league home games, scoring over two goals per game while conceding only six. Aston Villa has struggled against top-six teams away from home this season, losing all three encounters. However, Villa's counter-attack, spearheaded by Watkins, who has scored 18 league goals, poses a threat. The key for Arsenal will be to limit Villa's build-up play with their high press, while Villa needs to withstand Arsenal's early pressure. Arsenal will likely dominate possession, averaging 61% this season, and will look to exploit the right flank with Ødegaard and Saka. Villa is expected to adopt a deep defensive strategy, aiming to launch quick transitions through McGinn and Luiz. Data shows Arsenal's high attacking efficiency at home, scoring 15 goals in their last five home games, while Villa's away defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of two goals in their last three away games. Arsenal must be wary of Villa's set-piece threat, which accounts for 25% of their goals this season, and Villa must maintain a compact defensive shape to avoid being worn down by Arsenal's passing. The match is expected to be a contrast in styles, with Arsenal likely attacking and Aston Villa defending.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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