This match marks the 8th round of the 2025-2026 CBA season, with Zhejiang hosting Nanjing on December 30th at 19:35. Zhejiang's key advantages include playing at home, a morale boost from a recent win against Xinjiang, stable dual foreign players, and a high defensive intensity. Nanjing faces challenges with their away form, a recent coaching change, and a tight rotation. Zhejiang holds a clear overall advantage, with the keys to victory hinging on home court intensity, the impact of their foreign players, effective control of turnovers, and their ability to control the game's pace. Nanjing will need exceptional outside shooting and minimal turnovers to have a chance. Zhejiang, currently 13th with a 2-5 record, recently ended a losing streak. Their home record is 1-2. The return of their dual foreign players has improved their offensive and defensive efficiency. They have also improved their defensive pressure and third-quarter performance. Despite core injuries impacting rotation, their main roster is intact. Zhejiang's fast break and transition offence is above average. Nanjing's tactical execution after the coaching change is yet to be determined, and their interior defence and rebounding are generally weak. Historical matchups favour Zhejiang, with a 2-1 record in their last three meetings. Zhejiang won the earlier season match at home. Key tactical battles will be: Zhejiang maintaining high-intensity defence, suppressing opponents' transitions, relying on their dual foreign players to link inside and outside plays, and using their home advantage to extend their lead, with a focus on protecting the backcourt rebounds. Nanjing's needs to improve their outside shooting consistency, strictly control turnovers (15.3 turnovers per game), exploit fast breaks and generate opportunities through their interior game, and avoid slow starts on the road. They need to quickly adapt to the tactical rhythm after the coaching change. Key factors for the outcome: The foreign player matchup (Zhejiang's two versus Nanjing's one gives a significant advantage in crucial moments), defensive pressure (Zhejiang's defensive rotations and steal rate are superior, while Nanjing needs to reduce turnovers to prevent fast breaks), rebounding control (Zhejiang has the edge in protecting the basket and rebounding, and Nanjing needs to fight for offensive rebounds), and pace control (Zhejiang needs to maintain a stable pace to prevent third-quarter collapses, while Nanjing needs to increase the pace and transition). Prediction: Zhejiang, with their home advantage, boosted morale, and superior foreign players, are likely to win. Nanjing's away form is weak, and they're experiencing the after effects of a coaching change. Nanjing has the potential to narrow the score gap, but a surprise victory is highly improbable.
Chinese Basketball Association
Zhejiang Golden Bulls
87 - 73
NanJing TongXi DaSheng
Asian Handicap
Home
-9.5
Away
+9.5
*For reference only, not betting advice
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