The upcoming Premier League match between Burnley and Newcastle United presents an intriguing contrast in fortunes. Burnley, struggling in 19th place, has only managed three wins in 18 games, indicating a difficult season. Their recent form, marked by draws against Everton and AFC Bournemouth, suggests a team lacking consistency and struggling to find the back of the net, as seen in their goalless draw with Everton. The long list of injuries for Burnley may further compound their problems, weakening their squad depth. Newcastle, on the other hand, finds themselves in a more comfortable position, currently 14th in the league. While their recent form has been mixed, with a loss against Manchester United and a draw against Chelsea, they have shown moments of quality. The two draws against quality opposition like Chelsea and Bayer Leverkusen in recent weeks is a testament to this fact. Newcastle's away form, although inconsistent, has potential to unsettle Burnley’s defence. The away team has a slightly shorter injury list than Burnley, so they also have slightly more options on the bench. Considering the league standings, recent form, and injury situations, Newcastle United is the favourite. The odds also support this, with a significant disparity in win probabilities. The prediction is for Newcastle to win, and with the match likely to be cagey, the under goals market seems like a sensible bet. Given the teams' scoring records and defensive structures, a low-scoring game is anticipated.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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