Middlesbrough, currently second in the England Championship, are strong contenders for promotion. Their recent form is stable, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their defence has been particularly reliable. Home advantage is a key asset, with a home win rate exceeding 60% this season; recently, they've lost only once in their last ten home games. However, they face injury concerns, with key winger McGree and goalkeeper Dieng confirmed out, impacting squad strength. Hull City, positioned in the mid-table, have improved their attack recently, averaging over 1.5 goals per game. However, their strengths are offset by defensive weaknesses; their defence is a significant issue, conceding in their last eleven matches across all competitions. Away form is a weakness for Hull City, with most dropped points occurring on the road. Historically, they have a clear disadvantage in head-to-head encounters, losing 4-1 at home to Middlesbrough earlier this season. Middlesbrough's strong home performances and recent defensive stability provide a solid foundation. Their 4-1 victory over Hull City in the first leg, combined with their historical dominance, gives them a psychological edge. In contrast, Hull City's weak away defence is a major concern. Their consecutive conceding record indicates structural defensive flaws, particularly away from home, making it difficult to withstand pressure from stronger teams. While Hull City possess some attacking threat, their ability to convert chances into goals against a defensively sound Middlesbrough remains uncertain. Overall, Middlesbrough, with a more complete squad, home advantage, and historical dominance, are expected to control the match and aim for three points. Prediction: 2-0

*For reference only, not betting advice
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