Wrexham's attacking efficiency has been consistent this season, with a shot conversion rate of 15.3%, placing them in the top eight in the Championship. They also boast a strong expected goals (xG) rate of 1.8 per match. While Preston North End has an 82% key pass success rate, their forward passing value is lower, creating only 1.2 high-threat attacks per game. Wrexham demonstrates excellent midfield control, with 62% possession and an 85% short pass success rate, alongside a fast transition speed of 4.3 times per minute. In terms of running data, the home team covers over 112km per match, with a high-intensity sprint rate of 90 per game, significantly higher than their opponents' 83. Wrexham's defence is more dominant, averaging 15.6 tackles (3rd in the league) and 12.1 interceptions (5th), forming a solid defensive line. Their clearance success rate of 89% limits the opponents' second attacks. Offensively, their finishing ability is superior, with an 18.7% conversion rate (compared to Preston North End's 14.2%) and a matching xG value of 1.9. However, both teams possess strong defensive stability. The total expected goals for this match is 3.7, but considering the 2.25 under/over market, a tight scoreline of 1-0 or 2-1 in Wrexham's favour is more likely. Recommendation: Under 2.25 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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