In the England Championship match between Oxford United and Swansea City, the attacking efficiency of both teams presents a notable contrast. Oxford United boasts a high finishing conversion rate of 18.3% (6th in the league), surpassing Swansea's 14.1%. Oxford's expected goals efficiency (xG) of 1.21 also outperforms Swansea's 0.98. In terms of passing, Oxford's key pass success rate of 72.4% is superior to Swansea's 65.8%, with a front-pass value (PA.V) of 2.8 per match, exceeding their opponents by 0.5. Oxford demonstrates effective midfield control, averaging 68.5 ball recoveries and an 82.3% pass completion rate, facilitating efficient offensive and defensive transitions. High-intensity running data reveals Oxford's team covers 112km per match, with 19.3 high-speed sprints per match, putting pressure on their opponents and limiting effective counter-attacks. Defensively, Oxford United showcases a systematic advantage, with an average of 14.3 tackles (3rd in the league) and 12.1 interceptions (5th), forming a solid defensive structure. In comparison to Swansea's 10.2 tackles and 8.4 interceptions, Oxford's defensive coverage is clearly superior. In terms of finishing, Oxford's non-penalty xG/90 minutes of 0.64 (4th in the league) combined with a 16.7% conversion rate of clear chances is more threatening than Swansea's 0.51 xG/90 and a 12.4% conversion rate. The expected goals (xG) model shows Oxford at home with 1.42 vs Swansea's 0.86, with a total of 2.28 close to the betting line's critical point. However, Oxford's defensive pressure, with a -0.3 xG difference, combined with Swansea's recent form of being shut out in 4 of their last 5 matches, suggests that the actual number of goals will likely be below expectations. Recommendation: Under 2.25 goals.