Analysing the Tactical Battle: Al-Taawoun versus Al Najma in the Saudi Professional League – Key Statistics and Expected Goals Insights

Al Najma's offensive efficiency is highlighted by a 22.3% conversion rate, significantly outperforming Al-Taawoun's 17.8%. In terms of expected goals (xG), Al Najma scores 2.4 goals from an average of 1.98 xG per match, reflecting a 121% conversion rate, indicating superior finishing ability. Passing statistics reveal Al Najma's 68.5% key pass success rate, and a forward pass value of 0.42 per pass, exceeding Al-Taawoun's 0.31. In midfield control, Al Najma averages 18.3 fast attacks compared to Al-Taawoun's 14.1, supported by a greater running distance of 118km versus 112km, thus supporting a faster attacking rhythm. Saudi Professional League 01:30 Al-Taawoun - Al Najma Al Najma's defence averages 16.7 tackles and interceptions (Al-Taawoun 13.2), with 12.4 clearances per match forming an effective barrier. Offensively, their 12.3 shots on target per match combined with a 2.1 xG average are more threatening than Al-Taawoun's 9.1 shots on target and 1.6 xG. Notably, the total goals in the last 5 encounters between the two teams have exceeded 2.5 goals. Considering Al Najma's current form index of 1.87 (top three in the league) and Al-Taawoun's defensive weakness rate of 1.32 (bottom five in the league), the expected goal combination will be over 3.0. Recommendation: Over 2.75 Goals.